The research program of the Institute for Technology Analysis and Foresight in the field of Security Research focusses the analysis of forecasting methods related to technological processes. It provides the adaptation, development and refinement of appropriate methods for a scientifically based decision support connected to questions concerning the temporal development of actual and ermerging technologies.
This also includes the epistemological foundation of methods generating reliable statements about the development of future technologies as well as the investigation of the numerous existing methods in futurism with respect to their suitability and optimization possibilities.
In an innovative approach, the possibilities for the use of current developments such as Big Data technologies or cognitive systems in technology foresight will be explored.
Acceptance by potential users is a key determinant for the temporal evolution of technology. To capture this influence the institute is currently working on the development of a tool box with an extensive set of indicators allowing predictions on the acceptance of certain technologies.